Humanities & Social Sciences 8 (2016 9) 1710-1718 ~ ~ ~ УДК 0254.03:001.86:502/504 Scientometric Analysis of Dynamics of the Number of Publications on Environmental Issues Angelika V. Salagaevaa,b Vladimir L. Gavrikova b *, Sergey V. Tazeeva,b , and Rem G. Khleboprosa,b a Siberian Federal University 79 Svobodny, Krasnoyarsk, 660041, Russia Presidium of Krasnoyarsk Research Centre of SB RAS 50 Akademgorodok, Krasnoyarsk, 660036, Russia Received 27.04.2016, received in revised form 07.07.2016, accepted 26.07.2016 In this article scientometric analysis of the data on the number of publications on six environmental issues is conducted. <...> The following methods of analysis were applied: the method of linear interpolation, ssa method and correlation analysis. <...> An analytical expression to describe the changes in the number of publications over time was found by the method of linear interpolation. <...> The rate of change in the number of publications in a given time interval is analyzed in details. <...> The substantial significance of external factors on the initial number and dynamics of the publications growth is shown. <...> Introduction Global environmental problems, that are the problems concerning the entire biosphere of the Earth, are one of the most pressing ones. <...> It is possible to compare this growth with another exponent – an increase in carbon fuel consumption, which for the recent time has been doubling every ten years. <...> Exponential growth is very rare in nature: it means a positive feedback when an increase of a factor leads only to its further growth and inhibiting factors do not function. <...> This happens Angelika V. Salagaeva, Sergey V. Tazeev… Scientometric Analysis of Dynamics of the Number of Publications… during various disasters such as forest fires and avalanches. <...> On the contrary, in human activity positive feedback occurs very often. <...> There is no doubt that both exponential processes – the growth of carbon fuels consumption and the growth of carbon dioxide content are connected, and that the first is the cause of the second one. <...> The rate of anthropogenic residues production is 2 orders of magnitude more than the rate of natural carbon geochemical cycle capable to dispose of these residues. <...> This change inevitably leads to climate change, which has already been observed and can be predicted for the future. <...> The escalation of the global warming effect [2] may lead <...>